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Soccer: Predicting Match Results and Beating the Bookmakers

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Soccer: Predicting Match Outcomes and Beating the Bookmakers

Preface

Soccer Betting is a major business with billions spent on wagers at local bookmakers every year. And yet countless studies never fail to highlight that the average sports bettor loses money. Only a tiny proportion (less than 1 in 10 people) consistently make money.

This book is about helping you to beat the odds, find value trades and outsmart the bookmakers.

According to Warren Buffett, the legendary investor who grew a small company called Berkshire Hathaway into a billion dollar conglomerate over three decades, the Rule No 1 in making money is to “Never Lose Money”. Furthermore, he regularly reminded his readers that “Risk is not knowing what you’re doing”.

The same principles apply in Sports Betting. One major reason why most people lose money consistently is because they make bets without a clear logical framework, choosing to bet based on gut feel on simply choosing to bet on the crowd’s favorite.

To make money consistently, it is important to bet using a well thought out system, one derived through a logical reasoning process.

In this book, we will be covering the following areas:

*
h3<>. Why ordinary sports bettors lose money consistently (Hint: By betting on favorites)

*
h3<>. The concept of implied probability and how it can help you choose the winning option

*
h3<>. Why choosing the “Draw” option is often a suckers bet

*
h3<>. How bookmakers tilt the odds to influence your selection, and how to trade against them

*
h3<>. How to use Monte Carlo simulations to derive a winning system

*
h3<>. Trading the Over / Under Goals market: Determining low and high scoring teams

*
h3<>. Sports Arbitrage

*
h3<>. And More!

Are you ready? Let’s get started!

This is a free preview of the book “Soccer – Predicting Match Outcomes and Beating the Bookmakers” which will be released end 2015.

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Soccer: Predicting Match Results and Beating the Bookmakers

Soccer Betting is a major business with billions spent on wagers at local bookmakers every year. And yet countless studies never fail to highlight that the average sports bettor loses money. Only a tiny proportion (less than 1 in 10 people) consistently make money. This book is about helping you to beat the odds, find value trades and outsmart the bookmakers. One major reason why most people lose money consistently is because they make bets without a clear logical framework, choosing to bet based on gut feel on simply choosing to bet on the crowd’s favorite. To make money consistently, it is important to bet using a well thought out system, one derived through a logical reasoning process.

  • ISBN: 9781370297092
  • Author: John Reynolds
  • Published: 2016-08-18 06:05:07
  • Words: 339
Soccer: Predicting Match Results and Beating the Bookmakers Soccer: Predicting Match Results and Beating the Bookmakers